today it was 50/44 for president obama. i think ohio certainly is trending toward obama. it's safe to say that right now. the national polls are showing some movement toward the president. >> bret: say for the sake of arguement that the polls are skewed toward president obama. what he is doing on the stump now, is it different from what he was doing? enough of change of message? winning formula to turn it around? >> he has to change the pitch on the stump. i don't think it's enough of a change to couner the potency of the 47% video that is part of the president stump speech. if he wants to win the presidency he has to campaign like polls are correct. if he doesn't win ohio and virginia there is a tight sweep to presidency to 270 for him. florida, iowa, wisconsin, colorado, nevada. he is behind in a bunch of them. he has 40 days to do it. a lot of work outside debate. you can't gamble on that. being in ohio is bad news. >> bret: there are some republicans who say listen, it's actually, we don't want to be at this point. but there is something about being behind that would